Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 11.036045 12.919321 14.979109 17.392870 20.137247 23.153660 26.712983
2025-07-13 8.396790 11.080296 14.319890 18.486400 23.667007 29.858148 37.774225
2025-07-20 6.818454 9.890460 13.895140 19.422457 26.765790 36.089268 48.708270
2025-07-27 5.638645 8.870661 13.367070 19.947732 29.175130 41.472301 58.879169
2025-08-03 4.669800 7.910145 12.689970 20.057897 30.886123 45.929287 68.047540
2025-08-10 3.811609 6.929624 11.791003 19.655692 31.723421 49.132351 75.615545
2025-08-17 3.121035 6.073595 10.926231 19.140794 32.258590 51.845751 82.575320
2025-08-24 2.559287 5.322385 10.100893 18.546886 32.550185 54.140715 88.989648
2025-08-31 2.067745 4.598298 9.203015 17.695610 32.300293 55.524407 94.041545
2025-09-07 1.841073 4.331866 9.060509 18.092585 34.094221 60.181842 104.398812
2025-09-14 1.637801 4.072705 8.889572 18.405115 35.747580 64.694233 114.767508
2025-09-21 1.395540 3.683223 8.412095 18.091553 36.262747 67.341559 122.244025
2025-09-28 1.128071 3.199829 7.713652 17.349278 36.075667 69.023111 128.651380
2025-10-05 1.051448 3.152881 7.918762 18.419718 39.362146 76.988144 146.305299
2025-10-12 0.970083 3.076188 8.047584 19.349101 42.465480 84.851139 164.290562
2025-10-19 0.869922 2.926319 7.987686 19.871989 44.819588 91.521494 180.588594
2025-10-26 0.758285 2.716152 7.751985 19.981675 46.351827 96.777957 194.671616
2025-11-02 0.636495 2.442354 7.314221 19.580779 46.793853 100.011250 205.264732
2025-11-09 0.529299 2.180447 6.856892 19.067584 46.936740 102.660090 214.907921
2025-11-16 0.436596 1.935236 6.395343 18.475652 46.839065 104.810358 223.711763
2025-11-23 0.350697 1.682640 5.861888 17.627222 46.079946 105.572830 229.883673
2025-11-30 0.316484 1.609298 5.824177 18.022867 48.149896 112.164185 247.679819
2025-12-07 0.283787 1.531090 5.757853 18.334353 50.049226 118.515560 265.328801